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Polar Bear

There is a stubborn persistence to Polar Bear's story that is hard not to admire. The six-year-old has raced 29 times in total, winning just 2 of them — roughly 1 in every 15 races — and has not tasted victory in over three years. That last win came at Bellewstown back in April 2023, which means Polar Bear has gone through 36 months and at least six consecutive races without getting back to the winner's enclosure. For context, that is a long wait by any measure.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Blue Marmalade
Owner
Mrs John Harrington
Rating
59

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
29
Career races
2
Wins
6.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What keeps the story interesting is that the horse clearly has some ability — eight placed finishes from 29 races tells you it is competitive enough to be in the mix regularly, just not quite able to close the deal. The recent form figures of 4-10-12-4-9-4 show a horse that occasionally runs into the top four but has also had its share of disappointing days, including an 11th and a 12th in the mix. Not a horse in crisis exactly, but one that has made a habit of getting close without getting there.

Shane Foley has been the regular partner throughout, riding Polar Bear in 19 of those 29 races. Together they have won 2 of those 19 — roughly 1 in every 10 — which mirrors the overall career record almost exactly. That consistency between horse and rider suggests they know each other well, even if the results have been modest. The yard behind all this is trained by Mrs John Harrington at Moone in County Kildare, a serious operation that has sent out 52 winners already this season alone. That context matters: this is not a struggling yard propping up a hopeless case. Harrington clearly sees enough in Polar Bear to keep running it, and the horse raced just yesterday, so it remains very much an active project.

The first win came at Naas in October 2022, which started things promisingly enough. But nearly two and a half years have passed since the second and most recent success, and the clock keeps ticking. Polar Bear is the kind of horse that fills out a race card, keeps the yard hoping, and occasionally reminds everyone why they bothered — without ever quite delivering the result everyone is waiting for.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Navan in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding
Yielding to soft
Good to firm
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to yielding
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Mar
4th
Navan
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 15 runners
21 Oct
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 17 runners
6 Sep
12th
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
2 Oct
4th
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
16 Sep
9th
Laytown
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
27 Aug
4th
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners
24 Jul
7th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 21 runners
2 Jun
6th
Listowel
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
13 May
4th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
29 Apr
7th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Shane Foley Current Jockey
10.5%
Win rate
2/19
Won / Rode
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Naas
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 24 Jul 16.7%
The Curragh
Galloping
6 6 other 21 Oct 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 2 Oct 20%
Navan
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 30 Mar 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 6 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jun 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Jun 0%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%