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Pol Roger

Pol Roger is a six-year-old who has spent most of his career doing just enough to keep the handicapper interested — and just not enough to beat him. Across 42 races he has won 4 times, which works out at roughly 1 in every 10, and he has not stood in the winner's enclosure since Ayr in May 2024, now over two years ago. Yet his recent form suggests a horse still very much in the mix: his last six runs read 13-8-8-2-3-4, which in plain terms means he has gone from struggling to rattling off four consecutive placed finishes. Something is clearly clicking again — he just hasn't been able to get his nose in front.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Churchill
Mother
Passegiata
Owner
J Sagar
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
42
Career races
4
Wins
9.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The frustrating part, and trainer Michael Dods has been candid about this, is that winning has a cost. After Pol Roger landed that Ayr race, the weights authority bumped him up 4lb. Then four second-place finishes followed — and up went the rating another 7lb. That is an 11lb penalty for being consistently good, which is roughly the equivalent of being asked to carry an extra stone compared to where he was when he was at his sharpest. It is the classic trap for a horse operating at this level: get too good and the system makes it harder to win. Dods has been open about needing to try something different, with a longer trip — beyond the mile-plus distances he has been running at — potentially offering a way out of the handicapper's grip.

His best numbers come on normal ground and over seven furlongs to a mile, where he has won 2 from 9, around 1 in every 4-and-a-half races — noticeably better than his overall average. That stat is worth holding onto. Connor Beasley, his most regular partner across 22 races together, has ridden 3 of his 4 career wins aboard him, a win rate of 14%, or roughly 1 in 7, which is a meaningful relationship in a sport where horse-jockey chemistry genuinely matters.

Michael Dods runs a busy, productive yard out of Piercebridge in County Durham — 43 winners already this season — and Pol Roger is the sort of honest, competitive type a well-organised stable can place carefully. He raced just yesterday, so he is very much still at it. Whether the distance switch Dods is considering unlocks another win remains to be seen, but a horse this consistently placed is rarely far away.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 19 starts (16%)
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 22% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Jul
4th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 10 runners
2 Jun
2nd
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
10 Apr
8th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
21 Nov
8th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
4 Nov
13th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
20 Oct
9th
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 14 runners
9 Oct
4th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 8 runners
30 Sep
2nd
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
18 Sep
2nd
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Connor Beasley Current Jockey
13.6%
Win rate
3/22
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
Phil Dennis
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
18 2 wins, 7 seconds, 2 thirds, 7 other 13 Jul 11.1%
Haydock Park
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 26 Apr 16.7%
York
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 13 Jun 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
4 1 second, 3 other 2 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 10 Apr 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 4 Nov 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 18 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Nov 0%