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Planned Paradise

There is a horse out there who has found a way to make itself useful across nine years of racing, and its name tells you everything about its relationship with results — always promising, occasionally delivering. Planned Paradise is a 10-year-old with 5 wins from 45 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 9, and while that number will never make headlines, the story behind it is more interesting than it first appears.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Quel Bleu
Owner
The Paradise Mob
Official rating
117

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
45
Career races
5
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
167 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most telling detail in the record is what happens when the ground gets wet. On soft or muddy ground, Planned Paradise has won 2 of 9 races — a win rate of 22%, or almost 1 in every 4. Compare that to its overall record and you can see immediately that conditions are not just a preference but something closer to a requirement. This is a horse that comes alive in the rain, and any trainer worth their salt will be watching the weather forecast before declaring.

Christian Williams has the horse stabled at Ogmore-By-Sea in Glamorgan, and the yard is clearly having a productive season — 25 winners already this term, which suggests a well-run operation with horses in good order. Jack Tudor rides Planned Paradise most often, and their partnership has produced 2 wins from 15 races together, a win rate of around 1 in 7. That is slightly better than the horse's overall average, which hints at a genuine understanding between rider and horse built up over time.

The level Planned Paradise competes at most regularly is Class 3, which represents solid, competitive racing — not the top tier, but not the bottom rung either. The win rate there is just 1 from 21 races, around 5%, which tells you life at that level is hard. Planned Paradise tends to place rather than win — 21 places in 45 races is a horse that regularly finishes in the money without quite getting its nose in front.

What grounds the profile is the recent form. A win at Hexham just six weeks ago, on 25 March 2026, shows the horse is still contributing at 10 years old — an age when many have long since retired. A fifth-place finish just one day ago confirms it is still active and still competing. In a sport full of young, fast horses chasing glory, there is something quietly admirable about a veteran who keeps turning up, especially when the puddles are deep.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Cheltenham in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Tight tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 May
5th
Fakenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
6 Apr
DNF
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
25 Mar
🏆 Won
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
25 Feb
DNF
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
18 Jan
6th
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 17 runners
17 Dec
3rd
Ludlow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
2 Dec
4th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
15 Nov
5th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
24 Oct
13th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
6 Jul
3rd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
13.3%
Win rate
2/15
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
Mr J J Murphy-Knight Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
Jamie Moore
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Charlie Maggs
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Fern O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Cheltenham
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 15 Nov 0%
Perth
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 4 Jul 25%
Fakenham
Tight
4 1 second, 3 other 4 May 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 28 May 0%
Wincanton
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 5 Dec 0%
Worcester
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 19 Jun 50%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 8 Mar 50%
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 18 Jan 50%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 8 Dec 0%
Exeter
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 23 Mar 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Feb 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 win 25 Mar 100%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 third 17 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Oct 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 third 8 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Nov 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Feb 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Nov 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 third 20 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Dec 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 second 24 Sep 0%