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Penfolds Grange

Penfolds Grange is a four-year-old who has spent most of its career proving that consistency and a winner's enclosure visit are two very different things. One win from 15 races — that's a win rate of around 7%, or roughly 1 in every 14 outings — tells a story of a horse that keeps showing up without quite delivering. Six placed finishes suggest it isn't disgracing itself, but there's a stubborn gap between "good enough to finish close" and "good enough to win."Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Time Test
Mother
Posh Claret
Owner
Mrs M Elliott
Rating
68

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
1
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single career win came at Wolverhampton on 16 November 2024, and it remains the only time Penfolds Grange has reached the top step. What makes that more striking is that the win came at what should be its most comfortable level — the lower end of the racing ladder — yet it has since run six times without adding to the tally. At the class of racing it typically competes at, it has gone 0 from 6, which means that lone Wolverhampton success looks increasingly like an exception rather than a sign of things to come. Nineteen months is a long time to go without repeating a victory, especially when you're still relatively young.

The horse does have a preference for distances around a mile to a mile and a quarter, and that's where all its best performances have come. Over those trips it has won 1 from 10 races — a 10% win rate — which, while modest, at least confirms there is a version of this horse capable of winning at those distances. The recent form reads 3-6-2-blank-4-5, which shows a second place tucked in there and a handful of other mid-field efforts. It isn't stopping, it isn't running badly every week — it just isn't winning.

Mark Pattinson trains the horse from his yard in Epsom, Surrey, and his team has sent out five winners this season, so there is form in the yard. Penfolds Grange raced just one day ago, which means it is in the thick of a busy campaign right now. Whether fresher legs or a change of circumstances can unlock that next victory remains to be seen. For now, it's a horse that knows its way around a racecourse, can find the frame often enough to keep the yard hoping — but is still searching, 19 months on, for proof that Wolverhampton wasn't a one-off.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 10% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Kempton Park in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 May
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
28 Apr
6th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Apr
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
25 Feb
DNF
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
29 Jan
4th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 9 runners
11 Dec
5th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
23 Oct
5th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Oct
11th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
31 Jul
6th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
20 Jul
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
5 1 second, 2 thirds, 2 other 27 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 31 Jul 33.3%
chelmsford 2 2 other 11 Dec 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 13 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Jul 0%