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Pavilion End

Pavilion End is a six-year-old who has taken the long road to get anywhere near a winner's enclosure. Across 17 races, there has been just the one win — a victory at Dundalk in January 2025 — alongside five placed efforts, which works out to roughly 1 win in every 17 races. That is a modest return by any measure, though the five places at least suggest a horse that tends to show up and compete, even when it cannot quite get its nose in front.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Jack Hobbs
Mother
Munstead Star
Owner
Michael L Keating
Rating
75

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
1
Wins
5.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That Dundalk win, now 17 months ago, remains the solitary high point of the career. Since then, Pavilion End has gone six races without adding to it, and the recent form figures make for difficult reading — finishing 13th on the most recent outing, with a string of pulled-up or fell runs mixed in before that. Whatever was working in January 2025 has proven hard to recapture.

The strongest case for Pavilion End comes over longer distances. In the 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 mile range, the record reads 1 win from 9 races — that is 11%, or roughly 1 in every 9 outings at those trips — which is meaningfully better than the overall career average. For a horse who has struggled to win at all, that distinction matters. It suggests that stamina, rather than speed, is where the best chance of another day in the sun lies.

Charles O'Brien trains the horse from his yard in Straffan, County Kildare, and the operation has sent out one winner this season so far. Pavilion End raced just yesterday, so it is very much an active campaign, and the yard will be hoping the right conditions and the right trip can tease out a repeat of that Dundalk performance. It has happened once — which at least proves it is possible.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Jun
13th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 19 runners
24 May
DNF
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 27 runners
19 Mar
DNF
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 22 runners
11 Feb
9th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 10 runners
9 Jan
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
31 Oct
3rd
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
15 Oct
5th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners
3 Oct
7th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
9 Aug
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
17 Jul
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Keithen Kennedy
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Declan McDonogh Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 11 Feb 14.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Oct 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Mar 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 2 other 1 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Aug 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 9 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 24 May 0%