:

Paul Collins

There is something quietly stubborn about a horse that keeps showing up. Paul Collins has raced 15 times and won just once — that's a win rate of around 7%, or roughly 1 in every 14 races — but the story is a little more nuanced than that bare number suggests. Six of those 15 runs have ended in a place, which means this is a horse that competes honestly and finishes in the mix more often than it wins.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pillar Coral
Mother
Mercian Princess
Owner
Martin Baker & Owen O'Connor
Rating
108

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
1
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one victory came at Galway on 7 October 2025, trained by Brian McMahon, whose yard is based in Scarriff, Co Galway and has sent out 4 winners this season. Galway is practically home turf, and breaking through there clearly meant something — though Paul Collins hasn't managed to back it up since, and that win is now 9 months in the rear-view mirror.

The recent form tells a complicated story. Reading the last six runs from most recent backwards — 3, pulled up, 16, 12, 11, 1 — you can see a horse that peaked with that Galway win, then went through a rough patch of double-digit finishes, then didn't complete a race at all, and has most recently managed a third place. That third is the most encouraging number in the sequence. It suggests the horse hasn't gone backwards permanently and may be finding its way back to form at 6 years old, an age when many horses are hitting their stride. Paul Collins raced just yesterday, so whatever that form line holds, it's current.

Whether there's more to come depends on Brian McMahon finding the right opportunity. A horse with this profile — honest, placed regularly, but rarely winning — often needs everything to fall just right: the right race, the right ground, the right day. The Galway win proves it can happen. The question is whether it happens again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Jul
3rd
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
30 Jun
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
12 Jan
16th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
23 Nov
12th
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 18 runners
25 Oct
11th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners
7 Oct
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
26 Sep
11th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
28 Jul
4th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
24 Apr
2nd
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
11 Apr
5th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
James Smith
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Galway
Tight
3 1 win, 2 other 25 Oct 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 12 Jan 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 30 Jun 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Nov 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 28 Nov 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 second 24 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 third 6 Jul 0%