UK time :

Paul Collins

Paul Collins is a 6-year-old who proved he belongs on a racetrack by winning at Galway on 7 October 2025, but has struggled to repeat that success in the year since. With just one win from 19 races across his career, he wins roughly once every 19 attempts — a modest return that tells you this is a horse operating at the lower end of the racing scale. Still, he is clearly capable of better days. He has picked up seven places alongside that single victory, meaning he finishes in the money about 42% of the time, which suggests he is competitive enough to trouble the judge on a regular basis, even if victory remains frustratingly rare.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pillar Coral
Mother
Mercian Princess
Owner
Martin Baker Owen Oconnor
Official rating
100

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
1
Wins
5.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
17 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Paul Collins worth watching is his recent form. After that Galway win last October, he went twelve months without adding another, but his last six races show genuine promise. Most recently — just a day ago — he ran third, which was his best performance in that stretch. Before that he finished third again, and in the race before that he ran seventh. These kinds of results, scattered across recent weeks, suggest Brian M McMahon's yard at Scarriff is working with a horse that is genuinely engaged and competitive. The trainer has sent out four winners this season, so there is competence there. Paul Collins may never be a regular winner, but he appears to be a useful sort who can pick up races on his day — and having already proved he can win at Galway, that day may well come again.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Oct
3rd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
7 Sep
7th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
21 Aug
6th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
29 Jul
13th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
6 Jul
3rd
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
30 Jun
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
12 Jan
16th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
23 Nov
12th
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 18 runners
25 Oct
11th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners
7 Oct
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
James Smith
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Galway
Tight
5 1 win, 4 other 7 Sep 20%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 12 Jan 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 30 Jun 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 28 Nov 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Nov 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 third 6 Jul 0%