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Patter Merchant

There's a certain kind of racehorse that keeps turning up, keeps running well enough to justify the entry fee, but keeps leaving the winner's enclosure to someone else — and Patter Merchant fits that description rather neatly right now. The seven-year-old has managed 2 wins from 17 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 8 or 9 outings, and hasn't been to the winner's spot in 17 months, since a win at Galway back in October 2024.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Walk In The Park
Mother
Bowenscourt
Owner
Gigginstown House Stud
Rating
130

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
2
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
19 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That said, the recent form isn't as bleak as the win drought might suggest. Reading the last six races from newest to oldest — a blank, a blank, two wins, a third, a fifth, a second — tells you there was a bright spell in there, two wins on the bounce, before things went quiet again. The horse is clearly capable of hitting the mark, and with a couple of places mixed in alongside those wins, it's not as if it has been running badly. It just hasn't been winning, which in racing is ultimately the only thing that counts.

Patter Merchant races out of Gordon Elliott's yard in Longwood, Co Meath, one of the most powerful operations in Irish racing. Elliott's team has sent out 209 winners already this season — a number that puts the sheer scale of the yard into perspective. Getting noticed and getting opportunities in a stable that size isn't a given, so the fact that Patter Merchant has been kept active is a sign the team still believes there's a race to be won somewhere. The horse's most regular partner has been Jack Kennedy, one of Ireland's leading jockeys, but their six rides together haven't produced a single win yet — not the statistic either side will be proud of.

The first career win came at Leopardstown on 28 December 2023, one of the sport's most celebrated festival meetings, which at least suggests Patter Merchant can handle a big occasion. The most recent win, at Galway in October 2024, came at one of jump racing's most atmospheric tracks. Two wins, two good venues — the ability has shown up in the right places. The challenge now, heading into what will be the horse's eighth year, is showing it a little more often.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding
Soft to heavy
Yielding
Yielding to soft
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
10 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
15 Feb
11th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · 16 runners
17 Jan
3rd
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 9 runners
28 Dec
5th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
21 Nov
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
31 Oct
3rd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners
22 Apr
5th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 19 runners
13 Mar
9th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 24 runners
23 Feb
4th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Mr J H Williamson
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
James Smith
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 28 Dec 25%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 21 Nov 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 3 other 10 Mar 0%
Navan
Galloping
3 2 thirds, 1 other 17 Jan 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 win 27 Oct 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Feb 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 third 31 Oct 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Feb 0%