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Paggane

Paggane is a horse running at exactly the right time of year. The 7-year-old has won three of its last six races, including a brilliant strike just this week at Goodwood on 23 September. Before that came back-to-back Class 1 victories at Carlisle on 2 November and Market Rasen on 26 November — the kind of high-level form that makes trainers dream about bigger prizes. Over a career spanning nearly two years, Paggane has won 6 races from 25 starts, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 4 races, with a further 18 placings that speak to genuine consistency.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Muhaarar
Mother
Penelopa
Owner
R Bartlett J Carthy Mrs P Shanahan
Official rating
73

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
6
Wins
24%
Win rate
avg ~10%
72%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Paggane truly special is the love affair with wet and muddy ground. On those miserable, churned-up days when many horses struggle, Paggane thrives: it has won 2 of its last 5 races on heavy ground — a 40% win rate that jumps to an extraordinary 67% (2 wins from 3 races) on slightly soft terrain. This is the kind of pattern trainers live for, because it tells you exactly when to run your horse. Faye Bramley's Lambourn yard, which has sent out 17 winners already this season, clearly knows how to read the weather forecast on Paggane's behalf.

Paul Townend, Paggane's most frequent partner in the saddle, has ridden the horse 13 times and won 3 of those races — a 23% win rate that mirrors the horse's overall form. At Class 1 level, where the very best horses compete, Paggane has won 2 of its 5 races, proving it belongs in top company. With fresh momentum from this week's Goodwood win and the kind of autumn conditions that suit it perfectly, Paggane looks ready to add to that six-win tally.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
5 Feb
5th
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
29 Dec
3rd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
26 Nov
🏆 Won
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
2 Nov
🏆 Won
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
11 Oct
2nd
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
18 Jul
4th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
29 Jun
3rd
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 9 runners
11 May
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
23.1%
Win rate
3/13
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Michael O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 2 May 33.3%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 seconds 11 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 5 Feb 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 seconds 3 Nov 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Dec 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 26 Nov 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 2 Nov 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 23 Sep 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 win 27 Feb 100%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 win 2 Jun 100%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Feb 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 11 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 second 27 Dec 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 22 Sep 0%