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Outback Heat

Outback Heat is still finding its feet at three years old, but the signs are genuinely encouraging. The horse has won 2 of its last 5 races and sits on a career record of 2 wins and 4 places from 5 outings — a 40% win rate that most trainers would take without hesitation. What's more impressive is the consistency: in those five races, it has finished either first, second, third, or fourth every single time. There are no fifth-place finishes, no also-rans. This is a horse that turns up and does the job.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Too Darn Hot
Mother
Australian Queen
Owner
J C Smith
Official rating
96

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
5
Career races
2
Wins
40%
Win rate
avg ~10%
80%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
58 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The two wins tell a straightforward story of improvement. Outback Heat broke through first at Newcastle on 4 February, then struck again at Ascot on 8 May — one of Britain's most prestigious racecourses. That Ascot win four months ago suggests the horse belongs in quality company, though the current spell without a win (the last race was just a day ago) indicates it may be encountering tougher opposition or that it is still learning how to handle different conditions and tactics.

Harry Eustace's Newmarket yard has been in fine form this season with 24 winners, so Outback Heat is training among genuine winners. For a three-year-old with only five races under its belt, two victories and consistent placings represent solid progress. The horse is still very much active and recent racing suggests the trainer is keeping it sharp. Whether Outback Heat can add to its tally and develop into a serious prospect will depend on how it handles the next step up in class — but on current evidence, it has earned the chance to try.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Aug
4th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
18 Jun
2nd
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 31 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
11 Apr
3rd
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
4 Feb
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Kaiya Fraser Current jockey
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 18 Jun 50%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 4 Feb 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 third 11 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%