Only One Scobie
Only One Scobie is a three-year-old with the kind of form that keeps hope alive. Two wins from thirteen races works out to a win rate of roughly one in every five attempts, which is modest on paper but tells a more encouraging story when you look at the detail. The horse won twice in its last six races — most recently at Killarney just last week, on 21 August — suggesting it is finding its feet at the right time of the season.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The real strength lies in distance. Over a mile and one furlong to a mile and two furlongs, Only One Scobie has won 2 of 7 races, a win rate of nearly 30 percent. That is the sweet spot where this horse performs, and it is the kind of specific edge that trainers spend careers hunting for. Paul W Flynn, the trainer at Colehill in Co Longford, will be looking to keep the horse in races at that distance. Flynn's yard is having a solid season with 22 winners sent out so far, so the infrastructure is there to make the most of Only One Scobie's strengths.
The one frustration is the partnership with Leigh Roche in the saddle. The pair have raced together five times without a win, which suggests either the jockey and horse have not quite clicked, or the races chosen have not suited. Since the most recent win at Killarney came only a day ago, Only One Scobie is very much an active prospect, and the focus now will be finding races where the distance is right and the conditions allow the horse to capitalize on that late-summer form.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Sep
14th
Navan
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 21 runners
21 Aug
🏆 Won
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
31 Jul
13th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding_To_Soft · 21 runners
1 Jul
13th
Fairyhouse
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
11 Jun
3rd
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
4 Jun
🏆 Won
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
11 May
13th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
25 Apr
13th
Limerick
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 16 runners
9 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
30 Mar
14th
Navan
7f – 1m · Heavy · 15 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Dundalk Galloping |
3 |
3 other |
30 Jan |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 third |
11 Jun |
50% |
| Navan Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
2 Sep |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
21 Aug |
100% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
1 Jul |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
11 May |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
9 Apr |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Apr |
0% |