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On Key

One win from 24 races is a tough record to dress up, but On Key has been doing something quietly interesting lately — and this week, it finally paid off.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Cable Bay
Mother
Magic
Owner
Amphitheatre Racing Limited
Rating
54

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
1
Wins
4.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
45.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The four-year-old has placed in 11 of those 24 races, which tells you something important: this is not a horse that gets blown away and finishes last. It keeps turning up, keeps getting involved, and keeps just falling short. That changed on 14 July 2026 at Wolverhampton, where On Key got its nose in front for the first time — a breakthrough that looked overdue given a recent run of form reading 2-3-2-3, four consecutive places before the win finally came.

The distance suits. Over seven furlongs to a mile, On Key has won 1 from 7 races — that works out at roughly 1 in every 7 attempts at those trips, which is a 14% win rate and comfortably its best record at any distance. That might not sound spectacular, but for a horse with just one career win to its name, finding a range where it consistently performs is genuinely significant. It means the team know what they're working with.

Scott Dixon, who trains On Key from his yard in Rolleston, Nottinghamshire, has had 33 winners this season — a busy, productive campaign for the stable. On Key has most often been partnered by jockey Ryan Sexton, though their seven races together have not yet produced a win between them. That the horse finally broke its duck this week is a notable moment regardless of who was aboard.

The one wrinkle worth flagging is that On Key has raced eight times at Class 5 level — the sort of races designed for horses finding their feet or operating towards the lower end of the competitive ladder — and has not won any of them. Its sole victory came in different company. Whether it can back that up and prove Wolverhampton was a turning point rather than a one-off is the question worth watching. Given it raced just yesterday and the recent form has been consistently solid, the answer may not be long in coming.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 15 starts (7%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Jul
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
7 Jul
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
28 Jun
2nd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
6 Jun
3rd
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
29 May
2nd
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
16 May
5th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
7 May
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
23 Apr
4th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
15 Apr
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
6 Apr
8th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
Kieran O'Neill Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mikkel Mortensen
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 14 Jul 14.3%
Southwell
Galloping
4 2 seconds, 2 other 7 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 12 Mar 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Jun 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 20 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 24 Aug 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 third 31 Oct 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%