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October Surprise

October Surprise is still hunting for a breakthrough after seven races without a win or a place finish. The three-year-old has raced consistently over the past few weeks—out again just yesterday—but the results tell a familiar story: finishes around the middle of the field, with recent outings showing 4th, 6th, 5th, 8th, 9th, and 6th place finishes. None of those are disastrous, but none of them point the way forward either.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mother
Caravela
Owner
Miss Sheena West

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
7
Career races
0
Wins
0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
0%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
52 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trainer Sheena West's Lewes yard has had a solid season with eight winners to its name, so there is clearly competence in the operation. At Class 4 level, where October Surprise has raced three times, the horse is yet to find the answer. That particular grade—the lower-middle tier of racing—ought to be within reach for a horse of this age, but so far the pieces haven't fallen into place. With so little time between recent races, it seems West is testing the horse's appetite for racing and searching for the right opportunity. Whether that comes soon, or whether October Surprise eventually finds its level elsewhere, remains to be seen.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Aug
4th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
8 Aug
6th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
6 Jul
5th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
27 Nov
8th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
3 Nov
9th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
16 Oct
6th
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
2 Oct
8th
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 8 Aug 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 other 16 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Nov 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 28 Aug 0%