Niffler

The real story is what happens when Niffler gets the distance it loves. Over distances between one mile six furlongs and two miles, the horse is unbeaten: three wins from three races at that trip. This is not a fluke or a small sample — it is a clear pattern. Put Niffler in a race at the right distance and the horse thrives. Last week it won at Kempton Park, and this year it has been productive wherever it goes, with a recent run of 1-2-1-1-1 across its last five races before a rare tenth-place finish. The consistency speaks for itself. The horse first broke its duck at Newcastle on 20 August, and has barely looked back since.

Sir Mark Prescott Bt, training from Newmarket, has done the job with Niffler. Prescott's yard has sent out 47 winners this season alone, so the horse is not being overlooked or undertrained. Every piece of form suggests Niffler is still improving and has not yet hit a ceiling. Still active after racing just days ago, this is a horse worth watching at the distances where it excels.