:

Nickelforce

There is something quietly stubborn about Nickelforce that makes the numbers worth a second look. The seven-year-old has won 4 of 24 races across a career that has kept ticking along under Ben Case, whose yard in Edgcote, Northamptonshire has already sent out 9 winners this season. That overall win rate — roughly 1 in every 6 races — is decent enough, but the detail underneath it is where things get genuinely interesting.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Workforce
Mother
Nickel
Trainer
Owner
Lovell Massey Meads Smith Walsh
Rating
117

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
4
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
54.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Here is the puzzle: Nickelforce has run 12 times at Class 4 level, which represents the bread-and-butter middle tier of British racing, and has not won once. Not a single one. Yet the horse has four career wins to its name, which means every single victory has come elsewhere — either stepping up in class or dropping down to easier company. That is an unusual profile. Most horses find their level and win there. Nickelforce seems to perform better when the conditions are different from the norm.

The most recent win came at Wincanton on 8 November 2025, around five months ago, and the first career victory arrived at Plumpton in January 2024, giving the horse a window of form that has produced all four wins in roughly two years of trying. Since that Wincanton success, the last six runs read 4-1-2-2-3-4 — which, read from the bottom up, shows a horse working its way steadily forward. A fourth, a third, two seconds, a win, and then a fourth most recently. That is a horse in decent nick, not one that has fallen away since its last success.

Jack Quinlan has been the regular partner, riding Nickelforce in 10 of its 24 races and winning once together — 1 from 10, or 10%, which is modest but tells you this is not a straightforward horse to get right. The fact that Quinlan keeps coming back suggests the team at Edgcote still believe there is another win in there. Given that Nickelforce raced just yesterday and is very much an active runner, the next opportunity is not far away. Whether it comes at the level the horse has repeatedly found frustrating, or somewhere slightly different, is probably the key question worth watching.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3
Loves
Class 4
Avoids
Class 5
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, undulating
Wide and galloping
Left-handed, undulating
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turning
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
4th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
8 Nov
🏆 Won
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
14 Oct
2nd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 Sep
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
25 Aug
3rd
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
19 Jul
4th
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
6 Jul
2nd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
31 May
3rd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
18 May
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
13 Dec
5th
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
20%
Win rate
2/10
Won / Rode
Jack Quinlan Current Jockey
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 31 May 33.3%
Market Rasen
Sharp
3 2 seconds, 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 3 other 13 Dec 0%
Fakenham
Tight
2 1 third, 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Wincanton
Galloping
1 1 win 8 Nov 100%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 win 22 Jan 100%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 win 24 Oct 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 third 24 Mar 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 second 17 Sep 0%
hereford 1 1 second 17 Oct 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 third 25 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Apr 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 1 Dec 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 13 Mar 0%