UK time :

Newtown Duke

Newtown Duke is a five-year-old who has spent most of his racing life chasing the winning post without quite catching it. In 14 races, he has found the winner's enclosure just once — back in November 2025 at Newcastle — and added six placed finishes to his record. That single victory came late in his career, a breakthrough moment at an age when many horses have already proved themselves or moved on.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
Dark Crusader
Owner
Mrs S Thorpe
Official rating
72

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
1
Wins
7.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse shows genuine signs of life at the one-mile-one to one-mile-two distance, where he has won once from six races — a 17 per cent win rate that stands out against his overall record. Ian Williams' Portway yard has run the horse consistently through 2024 and into 2025, and the trainer continues to place him regularly. His recent form reads 8-4-3-3-1-4 across his last six outings, a sequence that shows a placed horse more often than not but with little firepower at the finish. He raced just a day ago, so he remains an active prospect in the yard's hands.

What holds Newtown Duke back is his complete lack of success in Class 4 races — the mid-range contests that should suit a horse of his experience and profile. Three runs at that level, no wins. When he steps up to better company, the gaps widen. Yet his trainer keeps sending him out, suggesting there is something to work with: a horse who can place regularly, who suits a specific distance, and who has already proved he can win. At five years old and still in training with a prolific yard, Newtown Duke remains a work in progress rather than a finished article.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
8th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
11 Sep
4th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 19 runners
13 Jun
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 May
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
22 Nov
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
29 Oct
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 5 runners
21 Aug
8th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
24 Jul
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 13 runners
5 Jul
3rd
Carlisle
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 15 runners
14 Jun
10th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ryan Kavanagh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 22 Nov 50%
Chester
Tight
2 2 thirds 13 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 third 3 Aug 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 third 5 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%