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Neptunes Staircase

Neptune's Staircase has been a tough horse to back over the past two years. The six-year-old has won just once in 12 races, a breakthrough victory at Roscommon back in July 2024, and has followed that with a handful of top-3 finishes but no return to the winner's enclosure since. That single win from 12 starts works out to roughly 1 in every 12 races, which tells you this is a horse that finds winning difficult at its current level.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
My Rosie
Trainer
G. M. Lyons
Owner
David Spratt Sean Jones Mrs Lynne Lyons
Official rating
75

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
1
Wins
8.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
4 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most recent form suggests something is stirring, though. In the last six outings, Neptune's Staircase managed a win (most recent), a pair of top-3 finishes, and some mid-field runs. The yard of G. M. Lyons at Dunsany has been in excellent form this season with 43 winners, and Colin Keane, the horse's most frequent jockey, rides it well — winning 1 of 6 races together puts them at roughly a 17% win rate as a partnership, better than the horse's overall record. That suggests there may be some chemistry there worth watching when they pair up again. With Neptune's Staircase still racing regularly, the door hasn't closed on more wins, but they will need to come sooner rather than later.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Oct
5th
Nottingham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
28 Sep
5th
Down Royal
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
31 Aug
13th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
28 Mar
9th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
2 Jul
🏆 Won
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
14 May
7th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
7 May
6th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 8 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 13 runners
5 Nov
2nd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 12 runners
18 Oct
2nd
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
Gary Carroll Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 28 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 31 Aug 50%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 May 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 23 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 14 May 0%