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Navassa Island

Navassa Island is a five-year-old who has spent two years working out exactly what kind of horse it is — and the answer, it turns out, is one that saves its best for the right moment. Two wins from 20 races is a modest headline figure, winning roughly 1 in every 10 races overall, but the story behind those numbers is more interesting than it first appears.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Territories
Mother
Roger Sez
Owner
J C Fleming
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
2
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at The Curragh in August 2023, which is significant in itself — The Curragh is Ireland's most prestigious flat racing venue, the place where champions are made and reputations established. That a horse picks up its first career victory there rather than at a smaller track suggests it had genuine ability from early on. The second win arrived this week at Cork, meaning Navassa Island goes into its next race on the back of a fresh victory and in the kind of form that makes it worth watching closely.

The recent run of results tells a mixed story. Reading the last six races from most recent backwards — a win, then a near-miss in second, then two poor efforts in tenth and ninth, then fourth — you can see a horse that goes missing for spells before suddenly producing the goods. That inconsistency is the puzzle, but the comeback win at Cork suggests something has clicked. Trainer M D O'Callaghan, based at The Curragh in Co. Kildare, has sent out 21 winners already this season, so this is a yard in strong form and clearly capable of placing a horse to best effect.

The one area where Navassa Island has yet to deliver is at the very top level. In five races at Class 1 standard — the best races in the country — the record reads zero wins from five attempts, a blank sheet. That is not unusual for a horse at this level of the sport; Class 1 fields are brutally competitive, and simply being good enough to run in them is its own kind of credential. But it does suggest Navassa Island is a horse that wins when the conditions suit, rather than one that rises to the biggest occasions. Whether this week's victory changes that trajectory is the interesting question.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Naas in 5 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Soft to heavy
Soft (muddy)
Yielding
Avoids
Good to yielding
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
8 Nov
11th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
4 Oct
2nd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Soft_To_Heavy · 18 runners
31 Aug
10th
Tipperary
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 15 runners
24 Aug
9th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
23 Jul
4th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 12 runners
29 Jun
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
13 Jun
5th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
5 Oct
3rd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
25 Aug
4th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Colin Keane Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Naas
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 24 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 4 Oct 25%
Cork
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 4 Apr 33.3%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Nov 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Jun 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%