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My Trump Card

My Trump Card has been a puzzle for the yard to solve. The eight-year-old has won 3 of his 19 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in 6—and placed another 5 times, suggesting there is ability in there somewhere. But that promise has been maddeningly difficult to unlock consistently. Trainer John McConnell, based at Stamullen in County Meath, has described him bluntly: the horse isn't straightforward. His work at home has always looked good, yet he hasn't delivered on that potential when it counts. Over the past season, McConnell has wrestled with whether chasing suits him or whether he should stick to hurdles, and he has admitted that getting a clean run without injury or distraction would be welcome.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Shantou
Mother
Screaming Witness
Trainer
John McConnell
Owner
Wise Guys Syndicate
Official rating
119

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
3
Wins
15.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
15 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse showed promise at Navan, winning twice from eight races there—making it his one genuine course specialist. His most recent victory came at Kilbeggan four weeks ago, and he raced just yesterday, so he remains active and fit. But his form has been patchy: in his last six outings he has finished fifth, sixth, first, eighth, sixth and fourteenth. That sole victory proves he can still do it, yet the results either side suggest he remains unreliable. What makes My Trump Card interesting is not a brilliant streak or a dominant performance, but rather the sense that he possesses hidden ability that has never quite been released. For those who like a horse with room for improvement and a trainer willing to experiment with tactics, he offers a tantalising possibility—though eight years in, time may be running out for him to realise what he has promised since his first win at Navan in December 2023.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft_to_heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft to heavy (wet)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Oct
5th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
23 Sep
6th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
4 Sep
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
22 Aug
8th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
10 Aug
6th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
2 Aug
14th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
24 Apr
10th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
31 Dec
5th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
6 Dec
8th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 16 runners
16 Nov
7th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
Carl Millar
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Davy Russell
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Navan
Galloping
8 2 wins, 1 second, 5 other 6 Dec 25%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Sep 50%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 1 Jan 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Aug 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Feb 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Oct 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Dec 0%