His best distance is the mile and a furlong to mile and a quarter range, where he has won 4 of 12 races — a 33 per cent win rate that stands out against his overall record. Over shorter or longer trips, he is far less effective, which tells you his trainer, David Simcock at Newmarket, will have clear plans about which races to target. At Class 6 level — the lower rungs of British racing — he has won 4 of 17 races, a respectable 24 per cent win rate, and that is where his best chances come.
His recent form is mixed. He was placed just a day ago, but before that his runs have been patchy: a win, then a ninth, a second, and some time away from the track. David Egan, his most frequent jockey, has not found the winning formula together — they have raced 11 times without a victory — suggesting the pair may not be the perfect match. For a horse with Mr Nugget's profile, consistency matters more than brilliance. He is the sort of racer who will pick off a race or two at his preferred track and distance, providing his the yard keep him aimed at the right opportunities.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
13 | 3 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 6 other | 24 Mar | 23.1% |
| Southwell Galloping |
9 | 3 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 3 other | 24 Feb | 33.3% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
3 | 2 thirds, 1 other | 28 Feb | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 23 Jul | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 9 Oct | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 16 Jun | 0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 18 Jul | 0% |
| chelmsford | 1 | 1 other | 19 Jun | 0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 21 Mar | 0% |