:

Mr Escobar

There is a horse in Willie Mullins' yard that tells an interesting story about the gap between competing at a high level and actually winning there. Mr Escobar is an 8-year-old with 2 wins from 19 races — that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 10 outings — but the numbers alone don't quite capture what's going on here.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Rating
122

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
2
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
30 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The basic picture is this: he places, reliably and often, but rarely converts. Seven times from 19 races he has come home in the minor positions, which means he has finished in the frame — first, second, or third — in nearly half his career races. That's the profile of a horse who belongs in competitive company but finds one or two rivals just too good on the day. His recent form makes the point well: in his last six races he has finished 13th, 5th, 3rd, 2nd, 10th, and 1st — a wild range that suggests he can be brilliant or frustrating depending on the day, with that win at Sedgefield in November 2024 standing as his most recent moment of glory, now 16 months ago.

The class question is the most telling detail. In his four races at Class 2 level — the upper tier of British racing — he has yet to win, managing zero from four. That's not unusual for a horse of his profile, but it does suggest the ceiling is real. Dropping into softer company is where he finds his victories.

He's trained by Willie Mullins at Muine Bheag in Co Carlow — one of the most powerful yards in the sport, responsible for 237 winners this season alone. In that context, Mr Escobar is not a headline act, but he is a working part of a serious operation. Brian Hayes rides him most often, partnering him in 6 of his 19 races and winning once together — that's roughly a 1-in-6 strike between them, slightly better than the horse's overall average, which hints at a decent partnership even if results have been modest. He raced 21 days ago and is currently active, so another run is likely just around the corner.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Mar
13th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
8 Mar
13th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
6 Aug
5th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
21 Apr
3rd
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
20 Apr
2nd
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
28 Feb
10th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
26 Nov
🏆 Won
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
13 Oct
6th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners
27 Sep
2nd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 21 runners
14 Sep
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Brian Hayes Current Jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Siobhan Rutledge
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 18 Jan 33.3%
Naas
Galloping
3 3 other 8 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 24 Aug 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 21 Apr 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Feb 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 win 26 Nov 100%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 27 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 second 14 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%