Moudan

Start with the ground. On very wet, muddy tracks, Moudan has won 2 from 4 races — that is a 50% win rate, which in racing terms is extraordinary. Half the time it steps onto a waterlogged track, it wins. Most horses tolerate conditions rather than thrive in them; Moudan actively comes alive when others are struggling through the mud. That is a genuinely rare and useful trait.

Then there is Limerick, where Moudan has won 2 of just 3 races — making it about as close to a course specialist as you will find. Something about that track suits this horse in a way that is hard to explain but impossible to ignore. Its first career win came there on 28 January 2025, and it has clearly never forgotten the place.

The recent form makes all of this feel current rather than historical. Moudan won at Navan just last week on 21 March 2026, and before that finished second in its previous completed race. Two wins from the last six outings is a horse in form, not a horse coasting on past glories. Jockey E Walsh has been in the saddle for most of these, riding 14 of Moudan's 17 races and winning 3 of them — roughly 1 in every 5 rides together, which reflects a genuine partnership built over time.

Ciaran Murphy's yard has sent out 18 winners this season alone, so this is not a quiet backwater operation — it is a stable in form, and Moudan looks like one of its sharper tools. With a 24% career win rate overall — winning almost 1 in every 4 races — and a horse that has found its best form at exactly the right moment, the smart money would be watching the weather forecast before Moudan's next run. If it is raining, pay attention.