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Morning Approach

There is something almost admirable about Morning Approach's persistence. Eight years old and still turning up, this horse has contested 59 races across its career and come away with just 3 wins — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 20 races, or just 5%. By any cold measure, those are modest numbers. But context matters: 14 times this horse has finished placed without winning, which tells you it is rarely embarrassing itself out there. It competes. It just doesn't often get to the front.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Dawn Approach
Mother
Cape Of Night
Trainer
Owner
Its A New Day Syndicate
Rating
49

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
59
Career races
3
Wins
5.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
23.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most recent win came at Dundalk back in December 2024 — nearly 19 months ago now — and the current run of six races without a win has produced finishes of 11th, 12th, 11th, 5th, 14th, and 6th. That fifth-place finish in the middle of the sequence is the one glimmer, though it is hardly cause for celebration. The honest assessment is that Morning Approach is in a difficult spell, and there is no immediate sign of a way out of it.

The horse does have a clear preference for normal ground conditions, and that is where the numbers look most encouraging in relative terms: 2 wins from 22 races on a standard surface, which works out at around 9% — nearly double the overall career average. It is a small but real edge that W McCreery's yard at Rathbride will be aware of when planning its next assignment. That yard has sent out 19 winners this season, so the operation clearly knows how to get horses competitive. Morning Approach simply hasn't been one of the beneficiaries lately.

Regular partner Nathan Crosse has ridden the horse in 25 of those 59 races, winning once together — a rate of 4%, fractionally below even the career average. It is a well-established partnership without a great deal to show for it statistically. The first career win came at Leopardstown in June 2022, which feels like a different era now. At eight, with form figures that read 11-12-11-5-14-6, Morning Approach is a horse asking its trainer some awkward questions. The fact it raced just yesterday confirms it remains active and in the mix — the story is still being written, even if the recent chapters have been quiet ones.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 22 starts (9%)
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 18 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 13 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Yielding to soft (damp)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Jul
6th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 25 runners
12 Jun
14th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 17 runners
11 May
5th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
6 Feb
11th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 17 runners
9 Jan
12th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 15 runners
3 Dec
11th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
12 Nov
10th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
26 Sep
12th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 16 runners
14 Aug
8th
Cork
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
12 Jul
2nd
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
4%
Win rate
1/25
Won / Rode
W J Lee Current Jockey
6.2%
Win rate
1/16
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
22 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 16 other 6 Feb 9.1%
Leopardstown
Galloping
10 1 win, 2 seconds, 7 other 9 Jul 10%
The Curragh
Galloping
6 1 second, 5 other 17 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
4 4 other 12 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 3 other 11 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
3 2 thirds, 1 other 26 Jul 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 14 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Aug 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jun 0%