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Moonfall

There is a horse at George Boughey's Newmarket yard that has been off the track for nine months, and judging by how his team talk about him, that absence has a story behind it. Moonfall is a three-year-old with a record of 1 win and 3 places from 4 races — winning 1 in every 4 times out — and while those numbers look modest on paper, context changes everything.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mother
Lealas Daughter
Owner
Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid
Rating
90

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
4
Career races
1
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
75%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
298 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 8 furlongs · Ideal conditions · 14 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His one win came at Newbury in June last year, and it was the kind of performance that sticks in the memory for the right reasons. Jockey Billy Loughnane noted that Moonfall had a flat spot two furlongs out but still got the job done, and made the point that stepping up in distance on a flat track seemed to unlock something in the horse. The raw material is there — Loughnane described him as a "good, moving horse" who handled the conditions without trouble and would likely be just as effective on fast, dry ground. His half-brother Soprano apparently thrives on quick summer tracks, so the family form backs that up.

What makes the absence meaningful is what happened before it. After that Newbury win, Moonfall ran in the Superlative Stakes — one of the top races in Britain for horses his age — and came seventh, well below expectations. Boughey has since said the horse simply wasn't right after that run, which explains the long break. Nine months off is not a routine winter rest; it is a deliberate reset, and the fact that Boughey is now talking enthusiastically about him again suggests Moonfall has come back in good shape.

The trainer has drawn a comparison to Celeborn, a horse from the same yard who had a notable season the year before, and has floated the Britannia — a prestigious flat race run at Royal Ascot — as a potential target. That is an ambitious aim, but Boughey's yard has sent out 99 winners this season alone, which tells you this is an operation that does not make empty promises. When a trainer of that calibre pencils in a Royal Ascot race for a returning horse, it is worth paying attention. Moonfall has only four races behind him, but the ones that matter have shown enough.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Returning from a 298-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Jul
7th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
12 Jun
🏆 Won
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
4 May
3rd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
17 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 12 Jun 100%