The Killarney win came over two miles or more, which lines up neatly with where his numbers are strongest. In longer races, he's won 1 from 3 — roughly 1 in every 3 attempts — compared to a career-wide record of 1 win and 4 places from 9 races overall, which works out at just over 1 in every 9. That gap tells a real story: give him a proper test of stamina and he becomes a different proposition.
His recent form reads 13-9-10-1-3-2 — that's the last six runs listed from most recent back to oldest. The two finishes at the sharp end of that sequence, the win and a second, sit together and hint at a horse that was genuinely coming into form around August. The three figures before that (13th, 9th, 10th) are harder to put a positive spin on, which is why the break he's had — 52 days since his last race — might actually suit. It gives trainer Denis Gerard Hogan time to plot a careful comeback rather than chasing form on the back of those disappointing runs.
Hogan operates out of Cloughjordan in County Tipperary and has had a productive season, sending out 58 winners. That's a yard that knows how to get horses ready to win, which matters when you're trying to build on a first career success rather than let momentum slip. The task now is finding the right race — almost certainly over a long distance — that lets Mont St Michel show the version of himself that showed up at Killarney, rather than the one that finished ninth and tenth earlier in the summer.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killarney Sharp |
2 | 1 win, 1 second | 22 Aug | 50% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 21 Oct | 0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 26 Dec | 0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 22 Jun | 0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 | 1 third | 30 Jul | 0% |
| Thurles Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 5 Feb | 0% |