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Mistral Blue

Mistral Blue is a hard-trying eight-year-old who has found wins hard to come by but remains a fixture on the racecourse. With just 3 victories from 19 races, the horse wins roughly one in every six outings — not exceptional, but steady enough to keep a trainer interested. His most recent win came at Uttoxeter back in June, now three months in the past, and he was back in action just yesterday, suggesting he remains sound and active under Fergal O'Brien's care at Withington in Gloucestershire.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Bresil
Mother
Mistral Reine
Owner
Make Mine A Double Partnership
Official rating
97

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
20
Career races
3
Wins
15%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
10 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Mistral Blue an intriguing character is that she has won at different tracks — her career breakthrough came at Doncaster in December 2023, and she has since tasted success again at Uttoxeter — yet she struggles badly in top-class company. When stepping up to Class 4 races, which sit at the upper end of the competitive scale, she has managed zero wins from seven attempts. This tells you she knows how to win, but only at tracks and levels where the opposition is within reach. Her recent form has been patchy: a seventh place last time out, followed by eleventh, sixth, a win, third, and fifth before that. There are no obvious patterns of improvement or decline, just the usual ups and downs of a journeyman racehorse grinding out a living.

Connor Brace has partnered him eight times, winning just once together — a 12% win rate that mirrors his overall record. With Fergal O'Brien's yard firing in the background (the stable has sent out 90 winners this season alone), Mistral Blue remains active, competitive at the right level, and far from finished.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Huntingdon in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Oct
3rd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
5 Sep
7th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
19 Aug
11th
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
24 Jul
6th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
13 Jun
🏆 Won
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 May
3rd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
4 May
5th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
7 Dec
DNF
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
11 Nov
2nd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
10 Apr
🏆 Won
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
Fern O'Brien Current jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Huntingdon
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 7 Dec 0%
hereford 3 1 win, 2 other 10 Apr 33.3%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 24 Jul 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 13 Dec 50%
Market Rasen
Sharp
2 2 thirds 8 Oct 0%
Fakenham
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 13 Nov 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Apr 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%