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Minella Missile

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that wins at Cheltenham first time out at the top level, then disappears for the better part of two and a half years — and comes back looking ready to do it again. That is roughly the story of Minella Missile, an eight-year-old trained by Mrs C Williams at her yard in Llancarfan in the Vale of Glamorgan.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Beat Hollow
Mother
Ella Watson
Owner
Mrs Janet Davies
Official rating
117

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
14.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
184 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The headline moment came on 17 November 2023, when Minella Missile won a Class 1 race at Cheltenham — one of the biggest stages in British racing. It was only his second career win, coming just weeks after his first at Chepstow. What made it striking was not just the result but how it was done. His trainer described him as a horse who can produce a burst of speed from almost nothing — the kind who can find two lengths in two strides. That is a rare physical gift, and it explains why a relatively inexperienced horse was able to win at the very highest level.

What followed was silence. The yard was honest about it: he simply was not right after Cheltenham, and rather than push him through races at less than 100 per cent, they gave him time. That patience cost him roughly 29 months of racing, and he has not won in his last six outings. Across 14 races in total, he has won just 2 — roughly 1 in every 7. Those are modest numbers on paper, but the context matters enormously. When he has been right, he has been very good.

The partnership with jockey Adam Wedge is worth noting. Together they have won 2 of their 7 races — nearly 1 in every 3 — which is an excellent ratio by any measure. And Minella Missile has a clear preference for soft, slightly wet ground, winning 2 of his 6 races on those conditions, or 1 in every 3. In dry, fast conditions, those numbers look very different, so ground will matter when choosing his races.

The trainer has spoken about a future over fences as the likely destination, and given that his half-brother Monbeg Genius is considered a serious prospect, the family has real quality behind it. The yard has sent out 3 winners already this season, spirits are high in Llancarfan, and Minella Missile, by all accounts, is in the best shape he has been for a long time. Whether he can recapture that Cheltenham form remains to be seen — but there is clearly a proper horse in there when everything falls right.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Apr
5th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
14 Mar
7th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
31 Jan
DNF
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 11 runners
18 Jan
5th
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 16 runners
1 Jan
5th
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
22 Nov
4th
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
24 Oct
12th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
4 Apr
10th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
12 Mar
16th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 26 runners
22 Feb
DNF
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 24 Oct 33.3%
Windsor
Sharp
3 3 other 18 Jan 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 22 Feb 50%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jan 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Nov 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Feb 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Mar 0%