Might Be The One
Might Be The One has found her moment at Downpatrick. The five-year-old broke through for her first career win at that track on 18 September, and she returned there three weeks later to win again — suggesting she has worked out what suits her. With just one win from her last six races, she is not a horse delivering victories week in and week out, but the pattern matters: she has finished in the money (won or placed) in four of those six outings, and her two visits to Downpatrick have yielded tangible results when so much else has not.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Orourke Construction Ltd
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Over her fifteen-race career, Might Be The One has won just once in every fifteen attempts, which puts her at the lower end of the scale. What saves her from being merely ordinary is that she keeps turning up. Her recent form shows 4-1-2-2-3-3 across her last six races — that is a fourth place, a win, then three placed finishes and another fourth. It is the form of a horse that is competent without being brilliant, one who runs respectably most days but breaks through only occasionally. With Andrew McNamara's Athboy yard having sent out seven winners already this season, there is no shortage of momentum around the stable, and Darragh O'Keeffe has ridden Might Be The One seven times without success, suggesting there may be room for a change of tactics or rider if the horse is to capitalize on his Downpatrick form. She raced just yesterday, so she is an active competitor still chasing a second win.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
4th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
18 Sep
🏆 Won
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
20 Apr
2nd
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
2 Apr
2nd
Clonmel
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 17 runners
8 Mar
3rd
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners
8 Mar
3rd
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners
12 Feb
DNF
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 14 runners
20 Jan
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 22 runners
29 Dec
2nd
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 16 runners
25 Nov
4th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 19 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Tramore Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
20 Apr |
0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
24 Oct |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
2 |
2 other |
8 Sep |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
2 |
2 thirds |
8 Mar |
0% |
| Clonmel Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
2 Apr |
0% |
| Downpatrick Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
18 Sep |
100% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Jan |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
29 Dec |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
10 Oct |
0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
11 Jul |
0% |