Midleton Rare
Midleton Rare is a horse that has found its sweet spot: wet ground at Fairyhouse. The eight-year-old has won twice from five races at that track, and more tellingly, has a remarkable record on soft or muddy ground overall, winning two of every three races (2 wins from 3) when conditions are heavy. This is the kind of specificity that makes a horse useful to follow. It is not a world-beater — with 4 wins from 26 races, it wins roughly once in every seven attempts — but it knows what it likes and performs accordingly. That last win came three months ago at Bellewstown on 18 April, which suggests recent form has not been kind. The last six outings tell a fairly bleak story: three double-figure finishes, a fourth place, and a ninth, with only one better result in that span. For an eight-year-old, that is the sort of run that can signal the beginning of the end.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
30.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The horse is trained by Noel C Kelly at Draperstown in County Derry, a yard that has been competitive this season with 14 winners already. Midleton Rare is most often partnered with jockey J P Sutton, though that partnership has not clicked — they have raced together six times without a win. The real story here is the wet ground and Fairyhouse, where conditions play a crucial role. If the yard can find another race on soft ground at a track where the horse has form, there is a reasonable chance of another win. But recent form suggests those opportunities may be running out.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding to soft (damp)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Jul
10th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
16 May
9th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
24 Apr
DNF
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
18 Apr
🏆 Won
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
29 Mar
4th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
17 Mar
10th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 22 runners
4 Mar
7th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners
21 Feb
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 19 runners
15 Jan
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
1 Jan
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 25 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
5 |
2 wins, 3 other |
21 Feb |
40% |
| Limerick Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
28 Dec |
33.3% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
3 |
3 other |
27 Jan |
0% |
| Downpatrick Undulating |
2 |
2 other |
29 Mar |
0% |
| Wexford Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
23 Jul |
0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
17 Mar |
0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
2 |
2 seconds |
21 Aug |
0% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
18 Apr |
100% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
17 Nov |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
4 Mar |
0% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
1 |
1 other |
24 Apr |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
8 Mar |
0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
30 May |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
3 Aug |
0% |