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Midleton Rare

Midleton Rare is an eight-year-old with the profile of a horse that wins just often enough to keep hope alive. The horse hasn't won in its last six races, with recent outings producing a string of mid-field finishes (11th, 10th, 2nd, 10th, 9th), suggesting form has dipped since its last victory at Bellewstown six months ago.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Champs Elysees
Mother
Brooklyn Babe
Trainer
Noel C. Kelly
Owner
C Dunseath
Official rating
102

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
29
Career races
4
Wins
13.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.0%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
13 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What marks Midleton Rare out is a clear preference for soft, muddy ground. On those conditions, it wins half the time — 2 victories from 4 races — a win rate that stands in sharp contrast to its overall record and suggests the horse is genuinely suited by a wet track. It is also a course specialist at Fairyhouse, where it has won twice in six races, enough to mark that venue as a decent hunting ground. Trainer Noel C. Kelly, based in Draperstown, Co. Derry, has found the horse a moderate earner without being a waste of space: four wins over a career suggests a horse that belongs in the races it runs in, even if it doesn't win them often.

A small puzzle surrounds the partnership with regular jockey Mr J P Sutton, who has ridden Midleton Rare six times without a single win. That disconnect is worth noting — perhaps the horse runs better for another pilot, or perhaps recent racing has simply caught a horse past its best window. Still, Midleton Rare remains active and was in action just a day ago, so there is life in it yet. For a betting perspective, the horse is worth watching on soft ground at Fairyhouse, where the figures suggest genuine winning chances. Elsewhere, it is best treated as a place bet or left alone entirely.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
11th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
19 Sep
10th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
7 Sep
2nd
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
23 Jul
10th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
16 May
9th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
24 Apr
DNF
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
18 Apr
🏆 Won
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
29 Mar
4th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
17 Mar
10th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 22 runners
4 Mar
7th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
Patrick M O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7)
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mr J Dunne(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Fairyhouse
Galloping
6 2 wins, 4 other 5 Oct 33.3%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 28 Dec 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 27 Jan 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Mar 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 2 other 23 Jul 0%
Sligo
Sharp
2 2 seconds 21 Aug 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
2 2 other 29 Mar 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 19 Sep 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 win 18 Apr 100%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 8 Mar 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Mar 0%