UK time :

Maui Breeze

The gelding has won just once in 21 races—a breakthrough victory at Southwell back in November 2024 that now feels like a distant memory, given that 23 months have passed without another win. That single success came at the distance where the horse runs best, between five and six and a half furlongs, though even over that preferred trip the win rate is modest: 1 victory from 11 races.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Hula Girl
Owner
H S Hutchinson And W Glass
Official rating
51

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
1
Wins
4.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
23.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
29 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The recent form makes for difficult reading. Over the last six outings, Maui Breeze has not finished in the frame once, with placings a long time ago and recent runs yielding finishes of 9th, 11th, 9th, 5th, 16th, and 7th. The partnership with regular jockey Paula Muir has yielded nothing in six attempts together. Trainer Wilf Storey's yard has managed four winners this season, but Maui Breeze is plainly not one of the outfit's success stories.

The horse still competes, having raced just a day ago, but without a win in nearly two years and a win rate of roughly 1 in every 20 races, finding the form that unlocked that Southwell victory looks increasingly unlikely. At Class 5 level—the bottom rung of proper racing—Maui Breeze has failed to win in eight attempts, suggesting the horse may have already found its ceiling.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 11 starts (9%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 6 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Sep
9th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
8 Sep
11th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
4 Jul
9th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
21 Jun
5th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
14 Jun
16th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
20 May
7th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
4 Feb
7th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
20 Jan
11th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
10 Jan
9th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
29 Dec
2nd
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
6 1 second, 5 other 19 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 seconds 27 Sep 33.3%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 8 Aug 0%
chelmsford 2 2 other 27 Nov 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Sep 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 20 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 third 25 Jun 0%