Macau

The most recent run is the one worth focusing on. Macau finished seventh last time out, which looks like a step back after that earlier third, though it is worth remembering that two races is an extremely small sample for any young horse. These early outings are really about learning — learning the racecourse, learning how to race — and plenty of horses take time to put it all together at this age.

What does give genuine cause for optimism is who is doing the training. Archie Watson, based at Upper Lambourn in Berkshire, has sent out 62 winners already this season, which is a serious number and puts the yard firmly among the busier, more successful operations in British racing. Watson has built a strong reputation for getting the best out of younger horses in particular, so Macau is in capable hands. The question is simply whether the talent suggested by that early placing can be turned into a win before the season is out.