Lovette

Her recent run of form makes for uncomfortable reading: in her last six races she has finished 9th, 4th, 11th, 8th, 6th, and 10th, and that's working backwards from yesterday. She raced just a day ago, which means she's being kept busy and actively campaigned. The 4th in that sequence suggests she can still trouble the frame on her day, but the double-figure finishes either side of it hint at inconsistency. At her level — she mainly runs in Class 5 races, which sit at the more accessible end of the racing ladder — she has won just 1 from 7 at that grade, or roughly 1 in every 7 attempts. That's a modest return, but it's also the grade where she found her one moment of glory.

What makes Lovette more interesting than her record alone suggests is what Jardine says about her privately. She describes her as tough and genuine — two words trainers tend to mean — and points to her pedigree as a reason for optimism. Crucially, she thinks she'll improve when the ground gets softer and wetter underfoot. That's a specific clue worth noting: if you see her name in a race run on wet or muddy ground, Jardine believes that's when she becomes a different proposition. At 4, she's young enough that this story isn't written yet. Jockey Mohammed Tabti has been aboard for 7 of her 12 races and has that one win to show for it — a 14% win rate, or roughly 1 win in every 7 rides together, which is a reasonable partnership at this level. There's enough here to suggest a win isn't far away if the conditions fall right.