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Lord Erskine

At 13 years old, Lord Erskine is the kind of horse that makes you appreciate what sustained competitive racing actually looks like. Fifty races into a career, with 8 wins and 18 further placings, this is a horse that has been showing up and delivering results for years — and remarkably, was racing just yesterday.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
13 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Fast Company
Mother
Lindoras Grace
Trainer
Owner
James M Nolan
Rating
134

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
50
Career races
8
Wins
16%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Across those 50 races, Lord Erskine has won 8 times, which works out at roughly 1 in every 6 races. That might not sound dramatic, but it reflects a horse that has been consistent enough to keep getting entered at a decent level, and competitive enough to keep rewarding the team's patience. The first win came at Roscommon in May 2022, and the most recent — at Galway in September 2025 — shows this is no fading veteran coasting on reputation. Seven months without a win is a dry spell worth noting, and the last six runs (finishing 10th, 11th, 4th, 9th, 4th, and 2nd) tell a slightly mixed story: there are signs of life in those two fourth-place finishes and a runner-up spot, but the big efforts haven't quite converted yet.

One thing that does unlock this horse is the ground. On wet or muddy going, Lord Erskine has won 2 from 4 races — that's a 50% win rate, which is an extraordinary return and more than three times its overall average. When the rain comes, this is suddenly a very different proposition. The preferred distance of a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs also gives the team a clear picture of when to aim for maximum impact.

The jockey partnership with Siobhan Rutledge is one of the more interesting threads here. In 16 races together, they've won 4 times — a win rate of 25%, or 1 in every 4 races. That's significantly better than the horse's overall average and suggests a real understanding between horse and rider. When Rutledge is in the saddle on a wet day over the right trip, the ingredients are there.

Trained by H Rogers out of Ardee in County Louth, Lord Erskine is part of a yard that has already sent out 8 winners this season alone. At 13, most horses have long since retired, but this one was racing yesterday. That longevity alone makes Lord Erskine worth watching.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Excellent record on soft_to_heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 16 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Naas in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Navan in 6 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 17 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding to soft
Loves
Soft to heavy
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Good to yielding
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
1M1F – 1M2F
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Right-handed, tight turning
Loves
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight
Ok
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
10th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 19 runners
1 Feb
11th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 20 runners
21 Oct
4th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 15 runners
12 Oct
9th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
28 Sep
4th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 33 runners
26 Sep
2nd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners
8 Sep
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners
31 Jul
7th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 20 runners
15 Jul
🏆 Won
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
22 Apr
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Siobhan Rutledge
25%
Win rate
4/16
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Patrick M O'Brien Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Michael O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Foley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Galway
Tight
9 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 5 other 8 Sep 11.1%
The Curragh
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 21 Oct 16.7%
Naas
Galloping
6 1 third, 5 other 12 Oct 0%
Navan
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 4 other 18 Jan 0%
Listowel
Sharp
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 26 Sep 20%
Leopardstown
Galloping
5 1 win, 4 other 1 Feb 20%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 4 Apr 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 30 Apr 0%
Tramore
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Aug 50%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 15 Jul 50%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Jul 50%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jul 0%