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Lir Speciale

There are horses that simply fall in love with one track, and Lir Speciale is a perfect example. This seven-year-old has won 6 races from 32 outings across its career, but three of those wins have come at Doncaster alone — from just four visits. That is a quite extraordinary record. Most horses win at a track once, maybe twice, and never figure out why. Lir Speciale seems to know exactly what to do when the stalls open at Doncaster, and the numbers bear that out in a way that is very hard to ignore.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Prince Of Lir
Mother
Ma Bella Paola
Owner
Kristian Strangeway
Rating
82

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
32
Career races
6
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The horse is trained by Brian Ellison at Norton in North Yorkshire, part of a yard that has been in fine form this season — 47 winners sent out already, which is the kind of output that tells you a team knows what it is doing. When jockey Ray Dawson takes the ride, things tend to go well: together they have won 4 of their 7 races, which works out to winning more than half the time. That is a remarkable partnership by any measure, and it is worth noting whenever Dawson's name appears in the racecard alongside this horse.

Conditions matter too. On wet or muddy ground, Lir Speciale wins 2 from 6 races — roughly one in three — which is a noticeably better return than its overall rate of around 1 in every 5 races. Combine soft ground with a trip between seven furlongs and a mile, and you are looking at where this horse has built most of its success: 4 wins from 14 races at that distance, nearly 1 in 3. These are not coincidences; they are patterns.

Recent form has been sharp. In its last six races, Lir Speciale has finished third, first, first, fifth, third, and eleventh — two wins in that sequence, with the most recent coming at Doncaster in November 2025, just five months ago. The horse raced again only three days ago, so it is clearly in full training and being kept busy. It generally competes at Class 4 level, which sits in the middle of the racing ladder — not the very top, but competitive enough that winning consistently there requires genuine ability. Six wins and 13 places from 32 races at that level is a solid, honest career record, and with Doncaster likely to appear on the schedule again, this is one horse that is well worth keeping an eye on.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Doncaster: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 29% win rate
Effective partnership with Ray Dawson: 57% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Yet to win at Newcastle in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow
Loves
Good to firm
Ok
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Soft (muddy)
Good to soft
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Avoids
Class 3
Loves
Class 4
Ok
Class 5
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Mar
3rd
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
8 Nov
🏆 Won
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Heavy · 21 runners
25 Oct
🏆 Won
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Heavy · 15 runners
28 Sep
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
7 Sep
3rd
York
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
21 Aug
11th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
7 Aug
2nd
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
24 Jul
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 14 runners
31 May
17th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
10 May
10th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
57.1%
Win rate
4/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Shay Farmer
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Conor Whiteley
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
5 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 14 Aug 40%
Newcastle
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 28 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
4 3 wins, 1 third 28 Mar 75%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 10 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Jan 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 22 Feb 0%
York
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Sep 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 24 Jul 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Aug 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 21 Sep 0%