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Lipa K

There is a horse running out of a small yard in Cheshire that wins more often than almost anyone would have a right to expect from its level — and it is doing it with a consistency that makes you sit up and take notice. Lipa K is an eight-year-old with 8 wins from 27 races, which works out to winning roughly 3 in every 10 races it enters. For context, most horses at this level are happy to win 1 in 5. It raced just yesterday and is very much a live, active contender.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Mamool
Mother
Triennial
Owner
Cottrell, Conway & Cottrell
Rating
124

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
27
Career races
8
Wins
29.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The story begins in Ireland, with a first win at Killarney in May 2022 that prompted its trainer at the time to say, simply, "I'd love to keep a horse like him." That instinct proved right. Lipa K eventually made its way to Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero's yard in Oldcastle, Cheshire — a team that has sent out 43 winners already this season, which tells you plenty about how seriously they operate. The joint trainer noted when the horse arrived that it came essentially ready to run, having built good habits at its previous yard. That is a rarer thing than it sounds.

What makes Lipa K genuinely interesting is what happens when you zoom in on the details. At Bangor-on-Dee, it has won 4 of 7 races — that is a remarkable number for one track, and it suggests the course suits something about how this horse travels and jumps. It also thrives in wet, muddy conditions, winning 2 of its 4 races on soft ground. The trainer has been open about the fact that stepping it up to three miles unlocked another level, and a strong second at Aintree hints at real quality underneath the routine Class 4 assignments. The Pertemps Final — one of the bigger prizes in jump racing — was mentioned as a target.

Recent form backs all of this up. In its last 6 races, Lipa K has finished 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, with a win at Warwick just five weeks ago. Henry Brooke, who rides it most often, has won 3 of their 7 races together — that is nearly 1 in every 2 rides, which is an unusually productive partnership. This is a horse that knows its job, suits a particular kind of rider, and keeps finding the line when it matters.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Course specialist at Bangor-on-Dee: 4 wins from 7 starts (57%)
Effective partnership with Henry Brooke: 43% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 May
9th
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
23 Apr
🏆 Won
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
26 Oct
2nd
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
5 Oct
3rd
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
5 Sep
🏆 Won
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
4 Jul
6th
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
6 Jun
🏆 Won
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 May
2nd
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
11 Apr
6th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
20 Oct
4th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Charlie Todd Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
7 4 wins, 1 second, 2 other 5 Sep 57.1%
Warwick
Sharp
2 2 wins 23 Apr 100%
Sedgefield
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 1 Oct 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 win 15 May 100%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 win 9 May 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Nov 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 third 9 Oct 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Oct 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Oct 0%