Liosa

Ground conditions tell a similar story of hidden strengths. On normal ground, Liosa wins 2 from 8 races — 1 in every 4. On wet or muddy ground, that improves to 2 from 5, or 40% — a remarkable conversion rate that suggests Liosa not only handles the mud but genuinely thrives in it. Most horses prefer conditions to be consistent; Liosa appears to actively improve when the weather turns.

The partnership with jockey Hector Crouch is worth noting too. In seven races together, they have won twice — a win rate of 29%, or roughly 1 in every 3.5 rides. That is well above the horse's overall average, and it is the kind of figure that suggests genuine chemistry between horse and rider rather than coincidence.

The current form line — 6-4-10-3-3-4 in the last six races — tells you Liosa has not won since April 2025, a gap of 13 months. There have been placings in there, so the horse has not fallen apart, but the winning touch has been elusive. Most of Liosa's races come at Class 4 level, which sits in the middle of the racing ladder, and the win rate there is just 1 from 8 — the weakest of any ground or course category in this profile. That slight dip at its most common level of competition is a quiet puzzle worth watching. The horse raced just yesterday, so the yard — the trainer and team around Liosa — are clearly keeping it busy. Whether the next Kempton run, on soft ground, with Crouch in the saddle, will bring everything together again is the question any smart observer would be asking.