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Leinster

A five-year-old who wins roughly one in every three races he enters, Leinster is the kind of horse that makes his trainer's yard look very good indeed — and Joseph O'Brien's yard at Owning Hill already looks exceptional, having sent out 154 winners this season alone. Leinster has three wins and four placed efforts from nine races, a record that tells you he is rarely out of the argument, even when he doesn't quite get to the front.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Camelot
Mother
Black Envy
Owner
Al Shira'aa Racing Limited
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
3
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers that stand out most are his record at The Curragh, Ireland's most prestigious flat track. He has won two of his four races there, and O'Brien has already identified a Listed race — one of the better-quality races in the calendar — on Guineas weekend as a potential target. That confidence is not unfounded. When the ground is normal, Leinster wins half his races: two from four. And when the trip stretches out to between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, the same pattern holds. He is a horse that needs time and space to show what he can do, and he keeps telling you that when he gets both, he delivers.

His partnership with jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle is one of the most striking details in his profile. Together they have won three of their five races — a 60% win rate, which is genuinely extraordinary. Browne McMonagle's own words after Leinster's last win at The Curragh in August 2025 give a vivid picture of what it's like aboard him: the pace was slow, the horse was keen, and the jockey had to spend the whole race persuading him to settle rather than burn his energy too early. That he won despite all of that says something.

O'Brien has hinted that a setback cost Leinster most of last season after a promising run at Roscommon, and that the trainer has always felt the horse's best distance is still to come — that Roscommon looked too short. With an entry in the Chester Cup already in the diary and a Curragh target being considered, the plan for 2026 is clearly to aim him at the races that suit him best and let him prove what he can do over a proper test of stamina. Given everything so far, it would be unwise to bet against him.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 50% win rate
Effective partnership with Dylan Browne McMonagle: 60% win rate together

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
4th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners
14 Sep
9th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
17 Jun
4th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
9 May
4th
Chester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
29 Mar
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 21 runners
2 Jul
3rd
Roscommon
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
31 May
🏆 Won
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 14 runners
5 Nov
8th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 22 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
60%
Win rate
3/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 other 14 Sep 50%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 win 31 May 100%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 third 2 Jul 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jun 0%