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Leinster

Leinster is a 5-year-old with a modest record on paper—three wins and five places from fourteen races—but the signs are there that the horse is beginning to find its level. The win rate of roughly one in every five races masks something more interesting: a partnership between horse and jockey that is working. Dylan Browne McMonagle has ridden Leinster in six races and won three of them, a 50% success rate that stands out sharply against the horse's overall form. That kind of win rate with one rider suggests the two understand each other, and that matters more than raw statistics.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Camelot
Mother
Black Envy
Owner
Al Shiraaa Racing Limited
Official rating
105

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
22 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is at The Curragh. Leinster has won two of its seven races there, but more tellingly, it was at The Curragh where the horse was last successful—16 August 2025, which now sits nearly fourteen months in the past. That long absence from the winner's enclosure might worry some, but the trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien is unmoved. Speaking earlier this year, he described Leinster as a "progressive stayer" and pointed to a strong run at Roscommon as proof the horse has the engine for longer distances. O'Brien also noted that a setback had sidelined Leinster for a spell, which explains the lean spell more convincingly than any lack of ability.

The trainer's comments about ground are worth noting too—Leinster "handles soft ground well"—and the plan involves Listed company at The Curragh on Guineas weekend, suggesting the yard believes there is improvement still to come. With McMonagle in the saddle and the track they both seem to favour within reach, Leinster has the pieces in place to break its recent drought.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Effective partnership with Dylan Browne McMonagle: 50% win rate together

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Sep
15th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 33 runners
13 Sep
5th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
22 Aug
3rd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
19 Jun
5th
Limerick
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 12 runners
15 May
4th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners
25 Apr
4th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners
14 Sep
9th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
17 Jun
4th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
9 May
4th
Chester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
3/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
7 2 wins, 1 third, 4 other 27 Sep 28.6%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 win 31 May 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 third 2 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 9 May 0%