Law Of Average

The dry ground angle is where things get genuinely interesting. On fast conditions, this horse has won 3 of 7 races — nearly 1 in every 2, which is a remarkable conversion rate. That is not a coincidence. Some horses are built for speed and struggle the moment the ground gets soft and heavy underfoot; Law Of Average is clearly one of them. When the sun has been out and the track is quick, the performance level jumps noticeably.

Then there is Lingfield Park. Two wins from just four visits might not sound extraordinary in isolation, but winning half your races at any track tells you the horse genuinely suits the course — its shape, its bends, its surface. Law Of Average won there as recently as last week, which only adds to the sense that this is a horse right at the top of its game on familiar territory.

The partnership with jockey Joey Haynes deserves a mention too. The pair have raced together 22 times, producing 6 wins — roughly 1 in every 4 outings. That kind of long-running combination matters: a jockey who knows a horse well can read its rhythms and pick the right moment to ask for an effort. Trainer Chelsea Banham, based in Cowlinge in Suffolk, has sent out 8 winners this season from her yard, and Law Of Average looks like the stable's standout performer. First winning at Chelmsford back in November 2023, this horse has steadily built into a consistent, reliable competitor — not a superstar, but the kind of horse that shows up, does its job, and wins races. Right now, it is doing that more often than not.