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Ksar Fatal

Ksar Fatal has done almost everything right in a short career — two races run, one win and one placed finish, which is a record most horses never come close to matching. The win came at Gowran Park in March 2025, and that 50% win rate (one from two) tells you this is a horse that has rarely put a foot wrong when asked to perform.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Buck's Boum
Mother
As Tu Vu
Owner
Tim O'Driscoll

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
2
Career races
1
Wins
50%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
332 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 2.5 miles · Soft, spongy ground · 12 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the next chapter genuinely interesting is who is behind it. Ksar Fatal is trained by Willie Mullins, arguably the most powerful racing operation in Ireland and one of the most respected in the world. His yard at Muine Bheag in County Carlow has sent out 237 winners already this season — a number that is almost absurd when you stop to think about it. That is not a yard sending horses out to make up the numbers; that is a factory of well-prepared, well-placed racehorses, and Ksar Fatal sits somewhere inside it waiting for a second act.

That second act has taken a while to arrive. The horse has not raced for roughly 11 months, which is a long time by any measure. Breaks like that can mean many things — a minor setback, a careful plan, or simply patience from a yard that has the luxury of waiting for the right opportunity. With Mullins, it is rarely accidental. The form line from those two runs reads 8-1, meaning the most recent race was that Gowran Park win, and the run before it was an eighth-place finish — the kind of early experience that many horses need before things click.

Now five years old and returning to the track, Ksar Fatal arrives with a clean record of doing the job when conditions have suited. Whether that Gowran Park form translates elsewhere, and whether the long absence dulls or sharpens what we have already seen, is the question worth watching. In a smaller stable, a horse with one win from two races would be easy to overlook. In this yard, it is worth paying attention.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Returning from a 332-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Yielding
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, undulating
Right-handed, wide and galloping

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 May
8th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
8 Mar
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Mr P W Mullins Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 8 Mar 100%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%