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Kayce Dutton

There's a horse in the Farnsfield yard of Charles & Adam Pogson that has quietly become one to watch at a specific track — and if you ever find yourself near Market Rasen on a race day, Kayce Dutton is worth knowing about. The eight-year-old has won 3 races and placed in 9 more from 21 outings across a career that tells the story of a horse who knows exactly where home is.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Ocovango
Mother
Case Hardened
Owner
John Lawson & Charles Pogson
Official rating
108

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
3
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
200 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The Market Rasen record is the headline. Two wins from just 3 races there is a remarkable return — that's winning 2 in every 3 attempts at a course where most horses are lucky to win once. Compare that to the wider picture: at the level Kayce Dutton typically races at, the record reads just 1 win from 12 races, roughly 1 in every 12. The gap between those two numbers tells you almost everything. Something about that track suits this horse in a way that few others manage, and the yard clearly knows it. The most recent of those Market Rasen wins came in January 2026, just four months ago, so this is no fading memory — it happened recently and it happened in winter, on wet ground when plenty of horses find excuses.

Robert Dunne has been in the saddle more than anyone else, partnering Kayce Dutton in 7 of those 21 races and taking 1 win together — a rate of about 1 in 7, which mirrors the overall career win rate of roughly 1 in 7. The partnership is consistent if not spectacular, and that steadiness has value in itself.

Charles & Adam Pogson have sent out 12 winners already this season, which shows this is a yard in form — they're not just ticking over. Kayce Dutton first won back in July 2023 at Cork, which is an interesting detail: that's Ireland, suggesting some early mileage was put on this horse across the water before settling into the Farnsfield routine. The recent form shows a win followed by a second place in the last six runs, and with a race just yesterday, the horse is clearly fit and active. When the entries come up for Market Rasen, this one goes straight to the top of the list.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 8 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 May
DNF
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
1 Apr
2nd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
2 Mar
5th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
1 Feb
DNF
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners
16 Jan
🏆 Won
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
14 Dec
3rd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
2 Dec
DNF
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
14 Nov
5th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
9 May
🏆 Won
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
24 Apr
5th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Wins / rides
Charlie Todd Current jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Tommy Brett
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
8 1 second, 1 third, 6 other 1 Apr 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
3 2 wins, 1 other 1 Feb 66.7%
Huntingdon
Galloping
3 3 seconds 12 Mar 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Dec 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 14 Jul 100%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 second 29 Mar 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Nov 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 24 May 0%