Across eight races, Karbau has won once and placed four times — that is a 12% win rate, roughly 1 win in every 8 races, but the placing record tells a more interesting story. Five of those eight races have produced a top-three finish of some kind, which means this horse is consistently competitive, just not yet consistently dominant. The sole victory came at Punchestown in January 2025, and that remains the only time Karbau has hit the front — now 14 months and six races ago.
Those six races since the win are worth looking at: the recent sequence reads 12-6-2-3-3-10, which is a mixed picture. Back-to-back third-place finishes followed by a runner-up shows a horse that was building momentum, but the latest two runs — a sixth and then a twelfth — suggest things have gone a little flat. The last race was just yesterday, so Karbau is very much in active training and being tested regularly.
Paul Townend, one of the best jump jockeys in Ireland, has been in the saddle for five of Karbau's eight races and was aboard for that Punchestown win. Together they have a 20% win rate — 1 win from 5 races — which is a solid partnership by any measure, even if the results have dried up recently. When the sport's best jockeys keep coming back to a horse, it usually means the team sees something worth persisting with. The question now is whether Karbau can rediscover the form that earned that win, or whether the horse is still searching for conditions that bring out the best in it.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown Galloping |
2 | 1 win, 1 third | 29 Apr | 50% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 13 Mar | 0% |
| Naas Galloping |
2 | 1 second, 1 other | 25 Jan | 0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 4 Apr | 0% |
| Aintree Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 4 Apr | 0% |