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Johnny Cakes

Seven years old and still looking for a second win, Johnny Cakes is the kind of horse that keeps the yard — sorry, keeps a yard — believing there's more to come. With just 1 win from 21 races, that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 21 outings, which is modest by any measure. But the three places alongside that single victory tell a story of a horse that competes honestly without always getting the job done.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Rating
88

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
1
Wins
4.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
14.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
25 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one win came at Punchestown on 24 February 2025 — and it's worth noting that Punchestown is one of Ireland's most beloved tracks, a proper horse racing venue with a real atmosphere. Breaking through there means something, even if the clock is now ticking: it's been around 13 months since that day, and the winning feeling hasn't returned since.

Trained by P J Rothwell out of Tinahely in County Wicklow, Johnny Cakes is part of a yard that has sent out 35 winners this season — so this is a functioning, active operation that clearly knows how to get horses to win races. That context matters. When a yard is firing on all cylinders, you'd hope some of that form rubs off on a horse still searching for its second victory.

The most regular partnership in the saddle is with Tiernan Power Roche, who has ridden Johnny Cakes in 6 races and landed that 1 win together — a win rate of roughly 1 in 6, or about 17%. That's actually a decent return for a horse that has otherwise found winning elusive, and suggests the combination works when things fall right.

Recent form reads 5-5-3-4-13-5 from the last six runs, most recent first. The 13 stands out as a bad day at the office, but the surrounding results show a horse that's finishing in the top five consistently enough to suggest it hasn't fallen apart. Last raced just 25 days ago, Johnny Cakes is clearly an active, race-fit horse. At seven, it's not young, but it's not done either — and with a trainer in good form and a jockey who has already found the winning formula once, another day like Punchestown last February isn't out of the question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Mar
5th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 12 runners
17 Jan
5th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 11 runners
1 Jan
3rd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 25 runners
11 Dec
4th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 16 runners
18 Nov
13th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 17 runners
25 Oct
5th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
25 Apr
3rd
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
24 Feb
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 16 runners
15 Jan
6th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
3 Dec
10th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Tiernan Power Roche Current Jockey
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Shane O'Callaghan
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 11 Dec 25%
Limerick
Galloping
3 3 other 18 Nov 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
3 3 other 15 Jan 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 2 other 26 Aug 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 third 25 Apr 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 17 Nov 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Nov 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 1 Jan 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jan 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Mar 0%