The recent form makes for interesting reading. In the last six races: a win, then thirteenth, then a win, then three consecutive seconds. Read that backwards — because that is the order it happened — and you have a horse that peaked, had one rough afternoon, then put together a string of near-misses before winning again. That latest win came at Tipperary on 3 July 2025, and that track deserves special mention. Jesse Evans has raced there three times and won two of them — a 67% win rate at a single course is remarkable for any horse at any level. Some horses just fall in love with a particular track, its bends, its ground, its atmosphere, and Tipperary clearly suits this one down to the ground.
Speaking of ground: give Jesse Evans a soft or slightly wet surface and the numbers sharpen considerably. Three wins from 8 races on that kind of going — 38%, or better than 1 in every 3 — compared to a career average of roughly 1 in 5. Longer distances suit too. At a mile and six furlongs up to two miles, the same pattern holds: 3 wins from 8 races, again 38%. This is a horse that wants to travel and wants to work through the ground, not skate across a fast, dry surface.
Jesse Evans has not raced for around five months, which is worth noting. That break could mean anything — a quiet summer, a minor issue, patient management — but Noel Meade's yard clearly knows what it is doing with this horse, given the quality of the recent form. Colin Keane has partnered Jesse Evans five times and won once together, which is a 20% win rate — bang in line with the career average. When the right track, the right ground, and the right distance align, this horse has shown it knows how to win.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway Tight |
5 | 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 other | 30 Jul | 20% |
| Killarney Sharp |
4 | 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds | 12 May | 25% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
4 | 4 other | 2 May | 0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
3 | 2 wins, 1 second | 5 Oct | 66.7% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
3 | 1 win, 1 third, 1 other | 11 Jul | 33.3% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
3 | 1 third, 2 other | 29 Sep | 0% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
2 | 1 second, 1 other | 6 Jul | 0% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 18 Mar | 0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 | 1 win | 26 May | 100% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 20 Oct | 100% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 1 Oct | 0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 6 Nov | 0% |
| Thurles Undulating |
1 | 1 second | 7 Oct | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 2 Apr | 0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 3 Nov | 0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 14 Oct | 0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 16 Apr | 0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 17 Jun | 0% |