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Jay Pee M

There's a horse in Terence O'Brien's yard at Carrigtwohill, Co. Cork that has quietly built a solid little career without ever threatening to become a household name — and that's perfectly fine. Jay Pee M has raced 19 times and come away with 2 wins and 8 places, which means it has finished in the frame in more than half its races. That's actually a decent return for a horse at this level. The win rate sits at around 1 in every 9 races (11%), which won't set the world on fire, but the consistency of those place finishes tells you this is a horse that tries its heart out and rarely has a bad day.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Valirann
Mother
Witchesintune
Owner
J P M Syndicate
Rating
96

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
2
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Cork on 17 January 2025, a nice moment for a local yard — O'Brien trains just down the road in Carrigtwohill, so racing at Cork must feel close to a home fixture. The second win arrived at Navan on 22 March 2025, suggesting Jay Pee M is comfortable travelling and performing on different tracks. O'Brien's yard has been in decent nick this season with 10 winners sent out, so the horse is part of a functioning, productive operation rather than a struggling outfit.

The partnership with jockey John Shinnick is worth highlighting. In 6 races together they've won twice — that's a win rate of 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3 rides. That is a genuinely impressive number. When the right jockey is on board, this horse clearly goes up a gear, and that kind of consistent record between horse and rider usually means they understand each other well.

The recent form, however, tells a more cautious story. Jay Pee M has not won in its last 6 races. The most recent sequence reads second, third, sixth, seventeenth, then two blanks — so there's been a clear decline after a promising spell earlier in the year. The last win was at Navan in March 2025, now 14 months ago, and at 7 years old the horse is no longer young. That said, it raced just one day ago, which means it remains active and the team clearly still believes there's something worth chasing. Whether a third win is coming is an open question, but O'Brien hasn't given up — and sometimes that's all the story you need.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
DNF
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 21 runners
10 May
DNF
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
19 Mar
17th
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 25 runners
3 Mar
6th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 11 runners
29 Jan
3rd
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 21 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
22 Mar
🏆 Won
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
13 Feb
4th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
17 Jan
🏆 Won
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 15 runners
15 May
6th
Tipperary
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
John Shinnick Current Jockey
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D Allen
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Cork
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 5 other 10 May 14.3%
Limerick
Galloping
3 2 thirds, 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Thurles
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 third 29 Jan 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 22 Mar 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Feb 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Mar 0%