Jancis

Both of those wins came in the summer of 2024 — the first in June, the second just four weeks later in July. Back-to-back wins at the same track within a month tells you something about a horse that had really found its comfort zone. The distance also matters: at seven furlongs to a mile, Jancis has won 2 of its 3 races, which works out at 67%. That is a striking hit rate and suggests the team knows exactly where to place this horse to give it the best chance.

The complication is time. Jancis has not won in its last six races, and its most recent run was 142 days ago — roughly four months back. That is a significant break, and returning horses can be rusty or, occasionally, freshened up and improved. The recent form figures of 2-6-4-5-5-2 show a horse that has been placing without winning, knocking on the door but not quite getting through it. McCreery's yard has sent out 21 winners this season, so it is clearly a functioning operation, and a horse returning after a break with that kind of Leopardstown record will have people paying attention. The question is whether four months off has helped or hindered — and whether the track that has twice brought out the best in Jancis can do so again.