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Jamaican Storm

Jamaican Storm has been a steady if unspectacular presence on the racecourse since breaking his duck at Newcastle in March, and he appears to have found his level as a reliable mid-field operator. The 4-year-old has won twice in 24 races—a modest 1 in 12 win rate—but his form tells a more encouraging story in the last couple of months. After backing up his maiden success with another win at Newcastle on 31 July, he has posted three places and a third in his last six outings, suggesting he is building some momentum just now, even if last time out produced a ninth-place finish that broke the sequence.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Morant Bay
Owner
B Smart
Official rating
65

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
24
Career races
2
Wins
8.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
17 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The key to Jamaican Storm's profile is geography. He is a Newcastle specialist, having won 2 of his 11 races at that track—a far better return than you would expect from his overall record. That translates to roughly 1 win in every 5-6 visits to Newcastle, which is genuinely useful form for a horse of his ability. He also thrives over a mile and a bit longer, with 1 win from 7 races at distances between 1m1f and 1m2f, suggesting he prefers to be stretched out rather than hurried along. Elsewhere, though, he struggles. When stepped up to Class 5—one of the top tiers of racing—he has failed to trouble the judges in eight attempts, which confirms this is very much a bread-and-butter horse, best suited to the bread-and-butter level.

Bryan Smart's Sutton Bank yard has been active this season with 18 winners to their name, so there is no shortage of winning form in the stable. Paul Mulrennan has been Jamaican Storm's regular partner, riding him in 13 races, but the pair have managed only that single victory together, the same modest 8% return as the horse's overall record. At four years old and still racing regularly, Jamaican Storm looks like the sort of honest, unglamorous type that will keep competing at his level, capable of winning another race or two if the yard keep him pointed at Newcastle and over his favoured longer distances.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
3rd
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 6 runners
5 Sep
2nd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
31 Jul
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · 10 runners
15 Jun
6th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
29 May
3rd
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
7 May
9th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
10 Apr
4th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
27 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
13 Mar
2nd
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
4 Mar
3rd
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Paul Mulrennan Current jockey
7.7%
Win rate
1/13
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
11 2 wins, 1 second, 4 thirds, 4 other 2 Oct 18.2%
Southwell
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other 7 May 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Nov 0%