Island Bear
Island Bear finally got off the mark at Leicester four weeks ago, breaking through for a maiden win after 11 unsuccessful attempts. The three-year-old has finished in the top three four times from 12 races overall, which suggests he has ability lurking somewhere—that first win proved it wasn't just luck. Since breaking his duck, though, form has dipped noticeably.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Trainer
Dr Richard Newland
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Distance appears to be the clue to unlocking him. Over a mile and one furlong to a mile and two furlongs, Island Bear has won 1 of 6 races—a 17 percent return that stands out against his overall 8 percent. That's more than double his win rate, suggesting the sweet spot for his running style may be in that middle-distance range rather than shorter or longer trips. The challenge now is whether he can string together another winning performance at a course or distance where the pieces fit.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Oct
4th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
5 Oct
3rd
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
21 Sep
🏆 Won
Leicester
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
10 Sep
5th
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
26 Aug
4th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
9 Jul
6th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
6 Jun
4th
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Soft · 7 runners
19 May
5th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
7 Apr
7th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 7 runners
2 Aug
6th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Southwell Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
15 Oct |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
21 Sep |
100% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
23 May |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 May |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
9 Jul |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Aug |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
5 Oct |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
10 Sep |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
2 Aug |
0% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Jun |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
25 Jun |
0% |