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Illinois

Illinois has the look of a horse caught between two futures, and that uncertainty is exactly what makes him interesting. A five-year-old trained by Aidan O'Brien at Cashel, he has won four of his last sixteen races—a 25% win rate that sits somewhere between respectable and unfinished business. What matters more than the numbers is where those wins have come. He has won twice at Ascot, including a top-level victory there two months ago, and claimed another Class 1 prize at Chester in May. These are not small accomplishments, yet they sit alongside a second place in the Ascot Gold Cup and a defeat behind the highly regarded Scandinavia at Goodwood. The pattern suggests a horse good enough to win at the highest level on his day, but not quite consistent enough to do it regularly.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Galileo
Mother
Danedrop
Owner
Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor
Official rating
111

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
4
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
75%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
60 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

O'Brien has explicitly described Illinois as versatile, and the horse's recent form bears this out. He loves fast, dry ground—winning two of five races when conditions suit him—and shows particular mastery at Ascot, where he has won twice from just three attempts. His partnership with regular rider Ryan Moore works too: they have won together twice in six races, a 33% win rate that outpaces his career average. Last raced just a day ago, Illinois remains actively campaigned. The trainer has hinted that the horse could drop back in distance for something like the Coronation Cup, or step up into longer-distance cup races. He is, O'Brien said, the kind of animal that will do whatever you ask of him. That adaptability, combined with proven form at the sport's top table, keeps doors open. He may never be a Gold Cup certainty, but on the right day, at the right track, with the ground just so, Illinois has already shown he belongs there.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Aug
2nd
York
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
28 Jul
5th
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
19 Jul
5th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
20 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
6 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
7 May
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
14 Sep
7th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
29 Jul
2nd
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 20 Jun 66.7%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 19 Jul 33.3%
Chester
Tight
2 1 win, 1 third 7 May 50%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 seconds 21 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 11 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Apr 0%