Ibelieveicanfly
Ibelieveicanfly has shown just enough promise in an uneven start to justify keeping a close eye on as a young prospect. The two-year-old has won once from six races—that victory coming at The Curragh back in early August—and has picked up two places as well, giving it a win rate of roughly 1 in 6 races. The horse is still active and racing, which means there's opportunity ahead, but the recent form has been frustratingly inconsistent: a fourth, a fourth, a win, a fourth, a second, and another fourth in the last half-dozen outings. That win came five weeks ago, and since then the horse hasn't found the winner's circle again.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier & Flaxman S
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What's worth noting is that Ibelieveicanfly is in the hands of A P O'Brien at Cashel, a yard that has already sent out 125 winners this season—so there's no shortage of quality training on hand. For a two-year-old at this early stage, a single win is nothing to dismiss, especially when it's come at a track as competitive as The Curragh. The real question now is whether the horse can get back to winning form. The recent pattern of fourths suggests it's meeting its level or struggling with the step up in company, but at this age it's not unusual for a horse to need time to find consistency. The next few races could tell us whether Ibelieveicanfly is a genuine talent waiting to break through or simply a limited horse that caught a good day at Curragh in August.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Sep
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
22 Aug
4th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 5 runners
9 Aug
🏆 Won
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
19 Jul
4th
1
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
28 Jun
2nd
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
4 Jun
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| The Curragh Galloping |
4 |
1 win, 1 second, 2 other |
22 Aug |
25% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
12 Sep |
0% |