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Ibelieveicanfly

Ibelieveicanfly has shown just enough promise in an uneven start to justify keeping a close eye on as a young prospect. The two-year-old has won once from six races—that victory coming at The Curragh back in early August—and has picked up two places as well, giving it a win rate of roughly 1 in 6 races. The horse is still active and racing, which means there's opportunity ahead, but the recent form has been frustratingly inconsistent: a fourth, a fourth, a win, a fourth, a second, and another fourth in the last half-dozen outings. That win came five weeks ago, and since then the horse hasn't found the winner's circle again.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
2 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Frankel
Mother
That Which Is Not
Owner
Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier & Flaxman S

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
6
Career races
1
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
37 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What's worth noting is that Ibelieveicanfly is in the hands of A P O'Brien at Cashel, a yard that has already sent out 125 winners this season—so there's no shortage of quality training on hand. For a two-year-old at this early stage, a single win is nothing to dismiss, especially when it's come at a track as competitive as The Curragh. The real question now is whether the horse can get back to winning form. The recent pattern of fourths suggests it's meeting its level or struggling with the step up in company, but at this age it's not unusual for a horse to need time to find consistency. The next few races could tell us whether Ibelieveicanfly is a genuine talent waiting to break through or simply a limited horse that caught a good day at Curragh in August.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Sep
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
22 Aug
4th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 5 runners
9 Aug
🏆 Won
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
19 Jul
4th 1
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
28 Jun
2nd
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
4 Jun
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 22 Aug 25%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Sep 0%