Homme de Fer
Homme de Fer has won twice in 20 races—a modest record, but one that hints at a horse better than raw numbers suggest. The five-year-old claimed both victories on normal ground over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, and both came within three weeks in December 2025. The first came at Wolverhampton; the second, ten months ago at Lingfield Park, was his most recent success. Since then, he has not found the winner's circle, though his recent form shows promise: three top-3 finishes in his last six outings, including a third-place finish just a day ago.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Homme de Fer interesting is his consistency with jockey William Carson. The pair have won twice from 11 races together—an 18% win rate, far better than the horse's overall 10%. Carson seems to have worked out how to get the best from him. The horse also shows a strong preference for his optimal distance and ground type: he wins roughly 1 in every 5 races at 7f to 1m on normal conditions, which is where he should be targeted.
Tony Carroll's Cropthorne yard has been in tremendous form this season, sending out 136 winners, and Homme de Fer remains very much part of active plans after racing yesterday. His recent stretch of top-3 finishes suggests he is capable of breaking his ten-month drought. The next win may not be far away if the yard can find a race that ticks his boxes: normal ground, his preferred distance, and—ideally—with Carson in the saddle.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Oct
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
3 Aug
4th
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
14 Jul
5th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
8 May
5th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
25 Mar
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
21 Feb
3rd
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
27 Jan
3rd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
14 Jan
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
22 Dec
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
10 Dec
4th
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other |
13 Oct |
16.7% |
| Windsor Sharp |
4 |
4 other |
3 Aug |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
3 |
2 thirds, 1 other |
25 Mar |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
22 Dec |
50% |
| Southwell Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
31 Oct |
0% |
| chelmsford |
1 |
1 third |
21 Feb |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Aug |
0% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
1 Oct |
0% |