Cromwell's operation is in seriously good form this season — 92 winners and counting — which makes the context around Hello Neighbour encouraging. A horse trained by a yard firing on all cylinders, ridden regularly by Keith Donoghue, who has won 2 of his 8 rides aboard (that's 1 in every 4), is not one to dismiss lightly just because the wins have dried up for a while.
What makes Hello Neighbour genuinely interesting is where and when it runs well. On wet or muddy ground, it has won 2 from 3 attempts — that is a 67% win rate, meaning it wins two out of every three races when conditions turn in its favour. For most horses, heavy rain is an inconvenience; for this one, it is almost a green light. And then there is Leopardstown. Two wins from four races at one of Ireland's most prestigious tracks is not a coincidence — that is a horse that shows up when it matters. Its last win came there on the first of February 2025, fourteen months ago now, but the affinity with that track remains a compelling reason to keep watching.
The most recent run was just yesterday, finishing third and tenth in its last two outings. The winless streak across the last six races will concern some, but the pieces are still there: a sharp trainer, a consistent jockey partnership, a love of soft ground, and a proven record at a track where the better races are run. If the rain comes and Hello Neighbour lines up at Leopardstown, that combination of factors is exactly the kind of thing a knowledgeable punter circles in pencil.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown Galloping |
4 | 2 wins, 2 other | 1 Feb | 50% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 1 Jul | 50% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 13 Mar | 0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 21 Sep | 100% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 4 Apr | 0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 3 May | 0% |